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“Bring back Shah or split apart.” Iran theory by HMS Bernard Shaw | Sri Lankan Think Tank

A Geopolitical Forecast on the Collapse of the Islamic Republic and the Fragmented Future of Iran Executive Summary For nearly half a century, the Islamic Republic of Iran has maintained a centralised, authoritarian grip over one of the most culturally,…

  • HMS Bernard Shaw
  • September 18, 2026
  • Blog

Islamist Violence Claims Thousands of Lives Across Africa in 2026

21 August 2026 Violence linked to Islamist groups has killed nearly 17,300 people and produced more than 6,500 recorded security incidents across five major African conflict zones in the first seven and a half months of 2026, according to new…

  • M.I. Sahabandu
  • August 21, 2026
  • Blog

The Chaos Pendulum: When Algorithms Turn Small Networks into Apparent Mass Movements

Editor’s Note: The term “Chaos Pendulum Theory” was first introduced by M.I. Sahabandu as an interpretive concept within discussions on intelligence analysis and strategic studies. It is used as a working analytical framework to describe patterns in which political, social,…

  • M.I. Sahabandu
  • July 30, 2026
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